tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-264226589944705290.post5159159483715316435..comments2023-11-05T03:45:25.001-08:00Comments on God Plays Dice: How to know if your hiring practices work?Michael Lugohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15671307315028242949noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-264226589944705290.post-39944784527259767872011-02-10T08:04:12.301-08:002011-02-10T08:04:12.301-08:00Malcolm Gladwell wrote an interesting article on t...Malcolm Gladwell wrote an interesting article on this:<br /><br />http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/12/15/081215fa_fact_gladwell<br /><br />If I recall correctly, he talks about some studies which indicate the many standard methods, like interviews, don't work very well. <br /><br />I think he may also have talked about this in an expanded form in one of his books.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15039100234407011133noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-264226589944705290.post-57114766358690287612011-02-10T06:53:44.641-08:002011-02-10T06:53:44.641-08:00Perhaps what you really care about is whether the ...Perhaps what you really care about is whether the people you hire based on some systematic evaluation perform better than other people who you hired using previous, presumably more subjective, evaluations. Probably you have plenty of the latter at your company already, so it might be worthwhile to compare the two groups, once you have a reasonable number of the former.JacobMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12122726676526536126noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-264226589944705290.post-63077185434706233982011-02-09T22:20:46.403-08:002011-02-09T22:20:46.403-08:00Oddly enough, Suresh, I saw Jonathan (who commente...Oddly enough, Suresh, I saw Jonathan (who commented above) give a talk once on the secretary problem.Michael Lugohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01950197848369071260noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-264226589944705290.post-63918005779800655902011-02-09T22:17:08.848-08:002011-02-09T22:17:08.848-08:00seems like a good segue into the secretary problem...seems like a good segue into the secretary problem :)Suresh Venkatasubramanianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15898357513326041822noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-264226589944705290.post-11993178930324270502011-02-09T19:56:25.156-08:002011-02-09T19:56:25.156-08:00This is a classic problem in insurance. How many o...This is a classic problem in insurance. How many of the people you didn't insure would have made claims. There simply aren't too many good ways to tell without resorting to some questionable extrapolations. In this case one of these imperfect extrapolation methods would be <br /><br />1. Hire as best you can but make everyone that applies do some arbitrary tests. (e.g. calculate the ping pong balls in a plane).<br /><br />2. See if the people that performed better on these arbitrary tests actually perform better at work later. <br /><br />Obviously the trouble here is that alot of the people you hire might perform well on the arbitrary test.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10716393385703376978noreply@blogger.com